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PoliticsExpires Apr 28, 2026

Will King Charles say "War" during the joint meeting of Congress?

Probability

81¢

1h

+30.0pp

24h

+9.0pp

24h Vol

$54.58

Liquidity

$168.64

Probability (last 7 days)

+32.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 9pp over 24h

    Now 81¢; +30.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 55h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $169 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 55h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 55 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 54.9h

    HIGH
  • 17:05Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 55h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 79¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 72¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 68¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.5pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhat will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress on April 28?
Category · Politics

Market Description

King Charles is scheduled to participate in a joint meeting of Congress on April 28, 2026. (https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/04/01/king-charles-joint-meeting-congress/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). This market is explicitly about King Charles's remarks at the joint meeting of Congress scheduled for April 28, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
washingtonpost.comSource not classifiedextracted · low
washingtonpost.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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