SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 18, 2026

Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Probability

20¢

1h

-1.1pp

24h

-10.1pp

24h Vol

$8.0K

Liquidity

$3.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-7.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 10pp over 24h

    Now 20¢; -1.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover

    $8.0k traded against $3.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 534h with open resolution ambiguity.

  4. 4

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 534.1h

    LOW
  • 17:55Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 534h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-10.0pp over the last 24h, now 20¢.

Biggest hourly move: -13.4pp at 17:00 (to 21¢).

Show all 31 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -13.4pp → 21¢
  • 15:00 · -12.7pp → 22¢
  • 14:00 · -10.9pp → 24¢
  • 12:00 · -10.2pp → 23¢
  • 11:00 · -10.8pp → 21¢
  • 09:00 · -8.9pp → 22¢
  • 08:00 · -10.0pp → 22¢
  • 06:00 · -9.0pp → 23¢
  • 05:00 · -7.8pp → 23¢
  • 03:00 · -5.3pp → 26¢
  • 02:00 · -6.2pp → 25¢
  • 00:00 · -8.3pp → 25¢
  • 23:00 · -6.5pp → 26¢
  • 21:00 · -7.2pp → 27¢
  • 18:00 · -4.2pp → 30¢
  • 1d ago · -6.3pp → 30¢
  • 1d ago · -9.4pp → 30¢
  • 1d ago · -7.9pp → 31¢
  • 1d ago · -3.7pp → 32¢
  • 1d ago · +9.2pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · +7.6pp → 31¢
  • 2d ago · +9.3pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +11.5pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +4.2pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +4.2pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · +3.8pp → 32¢
  • 2d ago · +6.2pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +3.6pp → 34¢
  • 2d ago · +3.7pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · +7.6pp → 35¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNBA Rookie of the Year
Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 18, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
nba.comOfficial sports resultextracted · high
nba.com)
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket