Will Manchester United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Probability
98¢
1h
-0.2pp
24h
-0.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$551.74
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $552 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3082.0h
- 13:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 98¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 98¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 98¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 98¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 98¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 98¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.6pp
to 99¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 99¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 99¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).