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SportsExpires Sep 1, 2026

Will Manchester United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Probability

98¢

1h

-0.2pp

24h

-0.2pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$551.74

Probability (last 7 days)

+10.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $552 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3082.0h

    LOW
  • 13:59Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.6pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.3pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 98¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 48.6pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.1pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.1pp

    to 99¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team qualified for the league phase of the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).