Will Mason Greenwood be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?
Probability
37¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$51.72
Liquidity
$720.81
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 826.0h
- 13:59SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 35¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).