Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Probability
19¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$118.02
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5993.1h
- 06:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5993h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 23¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 22¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 22¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 22¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 18¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 18¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 20¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 20¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 20¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ETAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).