Will "Michael" score at least 35 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$1.1K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 99¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $2.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 09:00SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 9h ago
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.
Biggest hourly move: +73.8pp at 2d ago (to 98¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +39.7pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +29.7pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +37.7pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +40.2pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +46.3pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +46.8pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +48.2pp → 98¢
- 2d ago · +73.8pp → 98¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Michael (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on April 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.