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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026

Will Napoli place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Probability

66¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+8.0pp

24h Vol

$46.72

Liquidity

$437.27

Probability (last 7 days)

-21.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 66¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 8.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 873.3h

    LOW
  • 14:39Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 873h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -30.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -26.5pp

    to 60¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Serie A season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Serie A as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Serie A season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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