Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Probability
22¢
1h
+6.0pp
24h
+21.3pp
24h Vol
$91.99
Liquidity
$129.19
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 61.7h
- 10:20SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 62h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.7pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.9pp
to 16¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.1pp
to 16¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.2pp
to 18¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.2pp
to 19¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.3pp
to 35¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.2pp
to 3¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 7¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 10¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 10¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 1¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.3pp
to 0¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.8pp
to 0¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.3pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.3pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.8pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.3pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.3pp
to 0¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.8pp
to 0¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 18¢+12.8pp
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
AI · Vol $463.02
- 75¢-14.0pp
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
AI · Vol $2.3K
- 1¢-0.9pp
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Business · Vol $86.86
- 0¢0.0pp
Will TurboTax: File Your Tax Return be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will App A be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will App C be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will App I be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will App J be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?
Business · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (41.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).