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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?

Probability

19¢

1h

-0.3pp

24h

+1.3pp

24h Vol

$206.32

Liquidity

$460.37

Probability (last 7 days)

+14.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 110.8h

    LOW
  • 09:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 15.2pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 15.2pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 12.4pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 8.3pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 8.3pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 7.2pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.9pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 11.2pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 8.3pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 7.3pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.6pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.8pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.6pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.7pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.7pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.8pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.8pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.2pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (4.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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