Will Orlando Magic advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
Probability
28¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 188.9h
- 03:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 189h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.9pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.2pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.4pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.4pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.1pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the Conference Semifinals of the 2026 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.2¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).