Will Ozzy Lusth win Survivor Season 50?
Probability
1¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$195.95
Liquidity
$8.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 585h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $8.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 584.9h
- 15:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 585h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.6pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.4pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 80¢-0.5pp
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $294.54
- 3¢-1.5pp
Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Emily Flippen win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $43.74
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Jenna Lewis-Dougherty win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $1.0K
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Contestant A win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Contestant C win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Contestant D win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Contestant F win Survivor Season 50?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢-8.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.6M
- 2¢-0.5pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 50¢-8.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 92¢+27.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $949.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Survivor season 50. If Survivor season 50 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Survivor season 50 has otherwise not concluded by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Survivor season 50.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 20, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).