Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Probability
60¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$896.39
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 60¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 19.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6016.1h
- 12:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6016h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 61¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 60¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 63¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Perena (https://x.com/perena) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Perena, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (19.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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