SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 21, 2026

Will SC Freiburg score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Probability

45¢

1h

-1.3pp

24h

+4.8pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$18.02

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 5pp over 24h

    Now 45¢; -1.3pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 602h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 84.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 602.3h

    LOW
  • 21:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 602h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+4.7pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

Biggest hourly move: +8.0pp at 2d ago (to 49¢).

Show top 8 of 12 hourly moves
  • 15:00 · -6.7pp → 41¢
  • 04:00 · +4.0pp → 47¢
  • 1d ago · -6.3pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · +4.4pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 49¢
  • 2d ago · +5.1pp → 49¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 42¢
  • 2d ago · -3.9pp → 42¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the club that records the most total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Europa League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the club who advanced farther in the competition. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the club that is listed first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Europa League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (84.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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