Will Sevilla place 17th for the 2025-26 LaLiga season?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+8.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.78
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 98.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 760.0h
- 08:02SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
+8.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +12.5pp at 20:00 (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 37 hourly moves
- 08:02 · +9.0pp → 50¢
- 05:00 · +10.0pp → 50¢
- 03:00 · +9.0pp → 50¢
- 02:00 · +12.0pp → 50¢
- 22:00 · +11.0pp → 50¢
- 20:00 · +12.5pp → 50¢
- 18:00 · +9.5pp → 50¢
- 15:00 · +11.0pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 17th in the 2025-26 LALIGA. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish 17th in the 2025-26 LALIGA (e.g. they mathematically cannot finish in 17th), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 17th place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (98.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.