Loading shell…
SportsExpires Sep 1, 2026

Will Sevilla qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?

Probability

42¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$12.13

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 84.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3079.9h

    LOW
  • 16:05Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:05Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 24.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 28.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 25.5pp

    to 35¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 33.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Champions League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or LaLiga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (84.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

3 wallets