Will Sevilla qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Probability
42¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$12.13
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 84.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3079.9h
- 16:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3080h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:05PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 42¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 42¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 23¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 33¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 10¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 27¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 33¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 24¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 35¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 25¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 38¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 29¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 28¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 93¢-0.1pp
Will Atlético de Madrid qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+10.9pp
Will FC Barcelona qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+2.8pp
Will Real Madrid qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 49¢-0.5pp
Will Athletic Club qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 53¢-0.5pp
Will Real Betis qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 95¢-0.1pp
Will Villarreal qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+0.5pp
Will Real Sociedad qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 9¢0.0pp
Will Celta Vigo qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.2M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $871.7K
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $834.7K
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $795.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Champions League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Champions League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Champions League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or LaLiga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (84.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).