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ScienceMulti-outcomeExpires

Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.7pp

24h Vol

$77.74

Liquidity

$6.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:38
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 3.4pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.9pp

    to 1¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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