CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

Probability

14¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$40.67

Liquidity

$15.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+4.5pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $15.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5972.1h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 14¢.

Biggest hourly move: +3.5pp at 3d ago (to 14¢).

Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 14¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total stablecoin market cap shown on DefiLlama is equal to or greater than $500B on any day by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is DefiLlama’s Total Stablecoins page, available at: https://defillama.com/stablecoins A data point on the DefiLlama chart is considered finalized once the data point for the following day is published. If the DefiLlama page becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
other credible and publicly verifiable sources
Link
defillama.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket