Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$0.00
Orrery restored this market from Polymarket's closed-market records. Treat the numbers below as last-known market context, then verify the resolution source before citing the outcome.
Canonical status
confidence: mediumSource status (Polymarket)
Derived status (Orrery)
Reason
Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 24, 2020
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk observation firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 100.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable advantage. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 24, 2020
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (100.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Verification Brief
A guided checklist for what must be proven before this market is treated as reliable context.
The market appears resolved. The useful check is whether the source and final oracle state match the displayed outcome.
Create trust-state alertVerification goal
Map resolution-relevant sources to the exact criteria needed to avoid misreading price as settlement.
What needs proof
Primary source
requiredConfirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.
Current evidence: https://defipulse.com/
Contract wording
requiredExtract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.
Orrery verification task Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse? State: Resolved NO — officially resolved Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Liquidity context: Check whether the move is supported by enough liquidity and volume to treat it as meaningful context. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.
Orrery verification brief Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse? State: officially resolved Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.
Market link goes in reply
A controlled loop for durable sources. Every source must answer one criterion from this Verification Brief.
Sources
0
Criteria covered
0
Reviewed
0
Awaiting review
0
Submit a source mapped to a criterion
Recent source checks
Pilot audit summary
Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
3Market Description
This is a market on if Sushiswap will have more Total Value Locked (TVL) than Uniswap, at any time before November 24th, 2020, 12:00am EST. This market’s inception date is November 18th, 2020, and thus the market conditions can only be satisfied after this date. The market will resolve to “Yes” if, at any time, Sushiswap has a higher overall TVL than Uniswap, and “No” if the end date is reached without this condition being met. The resolution condition is being tracked with the DefiPulse API as defined as the following API endpoints (with a valid API key): - [https://data-api.defipulse.com/api/v1/defipulse/api/GetHistory?project=uniswap](https://data-api.defipulse.com/api/v1/defipulse/api/GetHistory?project=uniswap) - [https://data-api.defipulse.com/api/v1/defipulse/api/GetHistory?project=sushiswap](https://data-api.defipulse.com/api/v1/defipulse/api/GetHistory?project=sushiswap) The market will resolve to “Yes” if, for any timestamp after November 18th 2020, these feeds report Sushiswap has a higher overall TVL in USD than Uniswap, and “No” if the end date is reached without this condition being met. If, for any reason, the API feed malfunctions or is unable to report on TVL, this market will be resolved in good faith empirically on the terms that Sushiswap has a higher TVL than Uniswap at any time before the resolution date. In the case of ambiguity in terms of the outcome, the market will be resolved in good faith by the Markets Integrity Committee (MIC).
Why this category?
confidence: mediumCategory
Source
Matched term
defiReason
Question text contains "defi" — matched the Crypto keyword rule.
Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.
FAQ — questions readers actually ask
What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse?"?
As of Fri, 05 Jun 2026 18:45:57 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.
When does this market resolve?
This market resolves by Nov 24, 2020 (2020-11-24T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://defipulse.com/.
What source determines the outcome?
Resolution is sourced from https://defipulse.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.
How much is being traded on this market?
$0.00 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $139.4K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $0.00. Spread between best bid and best ask: 100.0¢.
Is this a trade recommendation?
No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.
How fresh is this data and where does it come from?
This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.
Top Holders
2 walletsNone.