SportsExpires May 25, 2026
Creator

Will Team Liquid qualify for the DreamLeague Season 29 Playoffs?

Probability

99¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+24.6pp

24h Vol

$249.99

Liquidity

$277.57

Research loop

Inspect the market

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

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Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

PINNED YES

Reason

YES price is near 100¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Treat as effectively priced-in, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
pro.eslgaming.com
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
99¢
May 12, 2026, 23:00 UTCMay 18, 2026, 10:16 UTC
updated 10:16:10 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-18T10-16Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 25pp over 24h

    Now 99¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $278 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability drops back below 94¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • May 25, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 157.7h

    LOW

Price movement

+24.6pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.

Biggest hourly move: +51.0pp at 03:00 (to 99¢).

Show top 8 of 33 hourly moves
  • 10:00 · +51.0pp → 99¢
  • 09:00 · +51.0pp → 99¢
  • 08:00 · +51.0pp → 99¢
  • 07:00 · +51.0pp → 99¢
  • 05:00 · +51.0pp → 99¢
  • 03:00 · +51.0pp → 99¢
  • May 15, 12:00 UTC · +33.0pp → 73¢
  • May 15, 11:00 UTC · +30.5pp → 73¢
updated 10:16:10 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 10:16:10 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventDreamLeague Season 29: Qualify to Playoffs
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for the Playoffs of DreamLeague Season 29, scheduled to take place from May 13 to May 24, 2026. Ties in standings will be broken according to the official ESL rules. If the DreamLeague Season 29 is canceled, postponed, or if the official list of DreamLeague Season 29 Playoffs participants is not published before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the ESL website (https://pro.eslgaming.com/dreamleague/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/dota2/DreamLeague/Season_29) may also be used.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Sports hard marker

Matched term

team liquid

Reason

Question text matched the sports hard-marker "team liquid" — runs before rules to catch upstream mis-tagging.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Team Liquid qualify for the DreamLeague Season 29 Playoffs?"?

As of Mon, 18 May 2026 10:16:10 GMT, YES is priced at 99% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +24.6pp in the last 24 hours, +0.1pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 25, 2026 (2026-05-25T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$249.99 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $272.62. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $277.57. Spread between best bid and best ask: 1.9¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

10 wallets
Open on Polymarket