UnclassifiedExpires Jul 1, 2026

Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?

Probability

55¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$108.62

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1585h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 73.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1585.1h

    LOW
  • 22:53Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1585h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.

Biggest hourly move: +40.0pp at 22:00 (to 55¢).

Show 2 hourly moves
  • 22:00 · +40.0pp → 55¢
  • 2d ago · -39.0pp → 14¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jul 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (73.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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