Will Team Spirit make a roster change before July?
Probability
55¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$108.62
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1585h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 73.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1585.1h
- 22:53SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1585h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.
Biggest hourly move: +40.0pp at 22:00 (to 55¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 22:00 · +40.0pp → 55¢
- 2d ago · -39.0pp → 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Spirit's main CS2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Spirit" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/7020/spirit#tab-rosterBox) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: sh1ro, magixx, tN1R, zont1x, and donk. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. For the purpose of this market, "roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (73.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.