Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?
Probability
20¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$105.00
Liquidity
$376.15
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1567.2h
- 16:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1567h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:47PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 34¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 23¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 20¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 20¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 20¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 20¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 18¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 19¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 22¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Central Bank of Colombia after its June 30, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Central Bank of Colombia calendar: https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos. This market may resolve as soon as the Central Bank of Colombia's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- to the change in the target for the monetary policy rate as a result of the Central Bank of Colombia's June 2026 meetingAmbiguous wordingextracted · lowbanrep.gov.co
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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