Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+1.9pp
24h Vol
$32.2K
Liquidity
$125.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 6¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1566h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1566.3h
- 17:44SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1566h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+2.2pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Biggest hourly move: -3.9pp at 3d ago (to 4¢).
Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
- 12:00 · +3.0pp → 7¢
- 04:00 · +3.1pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -3.9pp → 4¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not stated explicitly — read the full market rules below.
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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