CryptoMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 30?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$17.61

Liquidity

$6.1K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Type
Exchange price
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 17:00Apr 29, 2026, 21:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 18h.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $6.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 18h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 18 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 18.3h

    HIGH
  • 21:41Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 18h.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: +47.8pp at 1d ago (to 50¢).

Show 3 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · +47.8pp → 50¢
  • 2d ago · +3.2pp → 5¢
  • 3d ago · -4.2pp → 2¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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