Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 25?
Probability
99¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+4.7pp
24h Vol
$3.8K
Liquidity
$4.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 99¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $4.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.2h
- 14:49SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:49PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 51.7pp
to 99¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 50.7pp
to 99¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.4pp
to 99¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.7pp
to 98¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 98¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 98¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.4pp
to 98¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.7pp
to 97¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.0pp
to 98¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.0pp
to 98¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 71¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.9pp
to 62¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.6pp
to 95¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.3pp
to 96¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 97¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 48.1pp
to 96¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.5pp
to 96¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.5pp
to 95¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.0pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.0pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 46.0pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.5pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 92¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 92¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).