Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 26?
Probability
98¢
1h
+20.0pp
24h
+5.0pp
24h Vol
$197.78
Liquidity
$336.69
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 98¢; +20.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $337 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 23h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 23.3h
- 16:44SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 78¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 94¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 94¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 94¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 94¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 94¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.0pp
to 94¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 94¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.0pp
to 94¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.5pp
to 89¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 39.5pp
to 89¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.5pp
to 85¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 79¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 92¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 45.0pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.0pp
to 91¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.0pp
to 92¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.5pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 47.5pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 92¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 50.5pp
to 92¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.0pp
to 92¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 88¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.0pp
to 87¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.