Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 27?
Probability
45¢
1h
-2.1pp
24h
+41.9pp
24h Vol
$50.00
Liquidity
$21.64
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 42pp over 24h
Now 45¢; -2.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 50h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 87.3¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 50h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 50 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 49.6h
- 14:26SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 50h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.2pp
to 46¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.5pp
to 48¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.7pp
to 39¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.5pp
to 45¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.7pp
to 47¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.4pp
to 46¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 47¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 42¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 47¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 37¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.2pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.2pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.8pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.7pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.3pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.4pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.3pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.4pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.9pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.9pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.4pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.8pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.6pp
to 3¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (87.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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