Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 25?
Probability
99¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
+20.6pp
24h Vol
$1.9K
Liquidity
$115.54
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 21pp over 24h
Now 99¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $116 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.7h
- 14:19SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 43.5pp
to 99¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.2pp
to 99¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 97¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 93¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.5pp
to 93¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 93¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 93¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 93¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.5pp
to 93¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 49.0pp
to 94¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 44.0pp
to 94¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 92¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 32.5pp
to 92¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 89¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.5pp
to 88¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 41.5pp
to 88¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 79¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 63¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 74¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 73¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.0pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 73¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 74¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 40.0pp
to 67¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the XRP/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/XRP_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance XRP/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for XRP/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specifieAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).