Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)
Probability
70¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
+31.0pp
24h Vol
$5.7K
Liquidity
$2.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 26.3h
- 21:43SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 26h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 70¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 71¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 69¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 73¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 74¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 74¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 68¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.5pp
to 88¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.0pp
to 84¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 73¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 71¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 68¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 37¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 38¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.0pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 54¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 20, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
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