Will Union Berlin be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-1.6pp
24h Vol
$137.64
Liquidity
$300.91
Probability (last 7 days)
+13.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 788.6h
- 03:22SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 789h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 3¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 1¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 4¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 3¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 2¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 2¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 4¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 2¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 2¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.3pp
to 2¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 4¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 4¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.6pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.9pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (26.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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