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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 27, 2026

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Probability

37¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.5pp

24h Vol

$13.22

Liquidity

$14.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 04:00Apr 25, 2026, 03:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1508.7h

    LOW
  • 03:19Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1509h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

10
Same eventFIFA World Cup Group D Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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