Will USD/CAD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026?
Probability
42¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$160.77
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 42¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5979h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 74.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5979.0h
- 21:02SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5979h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 44¢.
Biggest hourly move: +12.0pp at 2d ago (to 44¢).
Show all 7 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -10.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +12.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · +9.5pp → 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/CAD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (74.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.