Will Vegas Golden Knights advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-20.5pp
24h Vol
$126.32
Liquidity
$46.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-22.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 21pp over 24h
Now 40¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 224h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 223.9h
- 16:06SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 224h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:06PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 40¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 40¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 40¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 40¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 37¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 37¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 37¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 37¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.5pp
to 37¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 35¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 56¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 56¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 55¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 61¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team advances to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs (e.g. they are eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the results of the 2026 Playoffs first round have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL (https://www.nhl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).