SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 10, 2026

Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+0.1pp

24h Vol

$15.3K

Liquidity

$223.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-0.7pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:20
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $15.3k traded against $223.5k of visible liquidity (0.07× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1085h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1084.6h

    LOW
  • 19:21Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1085h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNBA MVP
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Victor Wembanyama is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP award, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 10, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket