Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$242.17
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 992h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 991.9h
- 16:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 992h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Western Conference Finals Most Valuable Player award for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).