Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?
Probability
47¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
-3.5pp
24h Vol
$526.00
Liquidity
$4.4K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPyth futures price feedLinkTypeCommodity price feed / futures dataConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 47¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $4.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPyth futures price feedLinkTypeCommodity price feed / futures dataConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 729.7h
Price movement
-3.5pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Biggest hourly move: -22.5pp at 4d ago (to 28¢).
Show top 8 of 35 hourly moves
- 06:00 · +10.0pp → 55¢
- 1d ago · +21.5pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +22.5pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · -12.0pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · +21.5pp → 50¢
- 2d ago · +21.0pp → 50¢
- 4d ago · -21.5pp → 28¢
- 4d ago · -22.5pp → 28¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 29¢+11.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?
Other · Vol $670.84
- 34¢+13.0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?
Other · Vol $716.82
- 43¢-7.0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?
Other · Vol $71.88
- 52¢+2.0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?
Other · Vol $865.00
- 60¢+5.0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?
Other · Vol $1.1K
- 83¢+33.0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?
Other · Vol $20.00
- 80¢+2.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
Other · Vol $75.00
- 58¢+8.0
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?
Other · Vol $16.13
- 69¢-2.0
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?
Other · Vol $1.7M
- 100¢+53.4
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?
Other · Vol $337.9K
- 100¢+0.1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $309.0K
- 100¢+45.5
Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger
Other · Vol $298.8K
- 99¢+48.9
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
Other · Vol $298.2K
- 18¢-1.0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Other · Vol $275.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for Silver (XAGUSD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session as listed on Pyth will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Silver (XAGUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Silver (XAGUSD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAG%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Silver Futures (SI)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.