SportsExpires May 7, 2026
Creator

Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Baptiste (+1.5)

Probability

100¢

1h

+57.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$31.1K

Liquidity

$204.7K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 7, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official WTA result
Link
wtatennis.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 19:00Apr 30, 2026, 16:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $31.1k traded against $204.7k of visible liquidity (0.15× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 162.3h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

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updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Andreeva" if Mirra Andreeva wins by 2 or more sets than Hailey Baptiste, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Baptiste." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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