Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs Baptiste
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-67.0pp
24h Vol
$1.5K
Liquidity
$29.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 67pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.9h
- 11:04SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-67.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Belinda Bencic and Hailey Baptiste in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bencic” if Belinda Bencic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Baptiste” if Hailey Baptiste wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.