Huzhou: Polona Hercog vs Xinyu Gao

• 01
  Price move

  Down 10pp over 24h

  Now 51¢; +8.5pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Volume pressure

  Heavy volume on this book — 3453.4× turnover

  $69.1k traded against $20 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

• 03
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 159h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 04
  Spread cost

  Wide spread — 98.0¢

  Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

• 05
  UMA status

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

• BUYPOLONA HERCOG
  Every-Alligator$980.00@ 98¢
  3m ago

This market refers to the tennis match between Polona Hercog and Xinyu Gao in the Huzhou, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Polona Hercog' if Polona Hercog advances against Xinyu Gao. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Polona Hercog. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.