Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristany
Probability
0¢
1h
-35.4pp
24h
-46.0pp
24h Vol
$74.9K
Liquidity
$150.6K
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 46pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -35.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 46.0pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 12, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 141.2h
- 10:50SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 46.0pp in 24h with 0.5× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 10:50SignalLOW
Resolution risk
UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.
Price movement
-46.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Storm Hunter and Guiomar Maristany in the Istanbul, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Storm Hunter' if Storm Hunter advances against Guiomar Maristany. This market will resolve to 'Guiomar Maristany' if Guiomar Maristany advances against Storm Hunter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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