Set 1 Winner: Kabbaj vs Ponchet
Probability
29¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.5h
- 08:31SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 29¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 25¢0.0pp
Saint-Malo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Jessika Ponchet
Other · Vol $1.4K
- 32¢0.0pp
Yasmine Kabbaj vs. Jessika Ponchet: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 20¢0.0pp
Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 65¢0.0pp
Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $23.51
- 50¢0.0pp
Kabbaj vs. Ponchet: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.9pp
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?
Other · Vol $396.1K
- 6¢0.0pp
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Other · Vol $289.0K
- 31¢-21.5pp
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?
Other · Vol $218.8K
- 3¢+0.4pp
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Other · Vol $209.1K
- 30¢-4.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $203.8K
- 21¢-12.5pp
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?
Other · Vol $192.6K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Yasmine Kabbaj and Jessika Ponchet in the Saint-Malo, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kabbaj” if Yasmine Kabbaj wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ponchet” if Jessika Ponchet wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.