UnclassifiedExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

Jiujiang: Haruka Kaji vs Xinyu Gao

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+73.0pp

24h Vol

$128.2K

Liquidity

$125.3K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Official WTA Tour data
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 3, 2026, 11:00May 5, 2026, 05:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 73pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 73.0pp in 24h with 1.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 164.3h

    LOW
  • 05:42Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 73.0pp in 24h with 1.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 05:42Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

+73.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Haruka Kaji and Xinyu Gao in the Jiujiang, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Haruka Kaji' if Haruka Kaji advances against Xinyu Gao. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Gao' if Xinyu Gao advances against Haruka Kaji. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
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