Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNally
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+16.4pp
24h Vol
$189.0K
Liquidity
$301.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 16pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 156h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03UMA status
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 156.2h
- 20:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 156h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+16.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Caty McNally in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marta Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Caty McNally. This market will resolve to 'Caty McNally' if Caty McNally advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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