Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskova

• 01
  Price move

  Up 13pp over 24h

  Now 60¢; flat in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Resolution source is ambiguous or relies on public-figure statements — verify before treating price as the market view.

• 03
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $8.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Kostyuk” if Marta Kostyuk wins the first set. It will resolve to “Noskova” if Linda Noskova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.