Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Noskova (+1.5)
Probability
42¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-9.5pp
24h Vol
$164.86
Liquidity
$9.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 10pp over 24h
Now 42¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $9.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 47¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 168.4h
Price movement
-9.5pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 65¢+2.0pp
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
Sports · Vol $14.6K
- 59¢+12.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Noskova
Sports · Vol $11.61
- 53¢-4.5pp
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 21.5
Sports · Vol $710.65
- 74¢+14.0pp
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Sports · Vol $20.00
- 41¢-2.5pp
Marta Kostyuk vs. Linda Noskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Sports · Vol $110.53
- 46¢-2.0pp
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 22.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 48¢-4.0pp
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Sports · Vol $140.00
- 42¢-9.0pp
Kostyuk vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.5M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.0M
- 0¢+0.1pp
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $4.0M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Linda Noskova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kostyuk" if Marta Kostyuk wins by 2 or more sets than Linda Noskova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Noskova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.