SportsExpires May 7, 2026
Creator

Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)

Probability

0¢

1h

-0.4pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$27.3K

Liquidity

$112.8K

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 7, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official WTA result
Link
wtatennis.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 30, 2026, 03:00Apr 30, 2026, 22:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 165.1h

    LOW
  • 22:21Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Anastasia Potapova in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 30, 2026 at 3:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kostyuk" if Marta Kostyuk wins by 2 or more sets than Anastasia Potapova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Potapova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

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