SportsExpires May 12, 2026
Creator

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-48.4pp

24h Vol

$174.4K

Liquidity

$433.9K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active · uma=proposed

Derived status (Orrery)

UMA PENDING

Reason

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Resolution is awaiting UMA confirmation. Price may move sharply when it settles.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 12, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Official WTA Tour data
Link
wtatennis.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 4, 2026, 17:00May 6, 2026, 15:27
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T15-28Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 48pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 137.5h

    LOW
  • 15:28Signal

    Resolution risk

    UMA dispute is active — settlement uncertainty, not new directional information.

    LOW

Price movement

-48.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Lisa Pigato and Tyra Caterina Grant in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 5, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Lisa Pigato' if Lisa Pigato advances against Tyra Caterina Grant. This market will resolve to 'Tyra Caterina Grant' if Tyra Caterina Grant advances against Lisa Pigato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lisa Pigato vs Tyra Caterina Grant"?

As of Wed, 06 May 2026 15:28:54 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -48.4pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 12, 2026 (2026-05-12T09:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$174.4K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $174.4K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $433.9K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.1¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket