Madrid Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Jelena Ostapenko
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$329.26
Liquidity
$55.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 47¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 184.1h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 48¢0.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Potapova vs Ostapenko
Other · Vol $0.00
- 53¢0.0pp
Potapova vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
Potapova vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢0.0pp
Anastasia Potapova vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 32¢0.0pp
Set Handicap: Ostapenko (-1.5) vs Potapova (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 47¢0.0pp
Potapova vs. Ostapenko: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 69¢0.0pp
Potapova vs. Ostapenko: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
Potapova vs. Ostapenko: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+39.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 81¢+14.0pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.9M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.5pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.4M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Potapova and Jelena Ostapenko in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Potapova' if Anastasia Potapova advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Anastasia Potapova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensuswtatennis.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.