Madrid Open: Laura Samson vs Anna Bondar
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-26.5pp
24h Vol
$463.2K
Liquidity
$297.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 26pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 1.6× turnover
$463.2k traded against $297.7k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 164.1h
- 12:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 164h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Laura Samson and Anna Bondar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Laura Samson' if Laura Samson advances against Anna Bondar. This market will resolve to 'Anna Bondar' if Anna Bondar advances against Laura Samson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scoresNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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