Set Handicap: Sonmez (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)
Probability
40¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-10.5pp
24h Vol
$31.47
Liquidity
$6.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 11pp over 24h
Now 40¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $6.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 45¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 183.2h
Price movement
-10.5pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 41¢+3.5pp
Madrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez
Crypto · Vol $8.3K
- 42¢-8.5pp
Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs Sonmez
Other · Vol $0.00
- 66¢+16.0pp
Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢+0.5pp
Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 21¢-29.0pp
Sierra vs. Sonmez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 39¢-11.5pp
Solana Sierra vs. Zeynep Sonmez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Crypto · Vol $15.87
- 48¢-2.0pp
Sierra vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 42¢-8.0pp
Sierra vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $1.5M
- 3¢+1.1pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.3M
- 41¢-5.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $365.3K
- 100¢+7.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $321.2K
- 1¢-0.3pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $311.7K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Zeynep Sonmez and Solana Sierra in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sonmez" if Zeynep Sonmez wins by 2 or more sets than Solana Sierra, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sierra." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official WTA resultOfficial sports resultwtatennis.com
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.