SportsExpires May 21, 2026
Creator

Parma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremska

Probability

1¢

1h

-42.2pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$99.4K

Liquidity

$131.3K

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

PINNED NO

Reason

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official WTA Tour data
Link
wtatennis.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
3¢
May 13, 2026, 17:00 UTCMay 14, 2026, 15:04 UTC
updated 15:04:14 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-14T15-04Z

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • May 21, 08:00 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 160.9h

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 15:04:14 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

1
updated 15:04:14 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

11
Same eventParma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremska
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Solana Sierra and Dayana Yastremska in the Parma, originally scheduled for May 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Solana Sierra' if Solana Sierra advances against Dayana Yastremska. This market will resolve to 'Dayana Yastremska' if Dayana Yastremska advances against Solana Sierra. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Manual override (pattern match)

Matched term

wta

Reason

WTA-tour tennis tournament marker.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Parma: Solana Sierra vs Dayana Yastremska"?

As of Thu, 14 May 2026 15:04:14 GMT, YES is priced at 1% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours, -42.2pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 21, 2026 (2026-05-21T08:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.wtatennis.com/scores. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$99.4K of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $99.4K. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $131.3K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.4¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket